The Middle East, North Africa, and climate change

Sustaining development in developing countries has never been as complicated a task as it is today in the face of a world characterized by tremendous competition over resources that are becoming scarcer. Climate change and its impact on water resources and agriculture, is one of the major problems facing developing countries in Africa. The research effort in this project aims to measure the impact of climate change directly on agriculture, and indirectly through its linkages with other sectors. It also examines the impacts of alternative mitigation policies. To achieve these objectives, an integrated methodological approach is used. We integrate two modeling frameworks that have been applied successfully on a wide range of problems: the GTAP model and the IMPACT-WATER model. The aim is to provide not only a country-based analysis, but to create analytical tools that can be applied in other countries and regions.