Will COVID-19 lead to half a billion more people living in poverty in developing countries?

Andy Sumner, Chris Hoy, and Eduardo Ortiz-Juarez provide new estimates of the impact of the pandemic on global poverty.
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Artificial intelligence vs. COVID-19 in developing countries

Priorities and trade-offs
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Journal Article: Tax-motivated transfer mispricing in South Africa - direct evidence using transaction data

This new Open Access article provides the first direct systematic evidence of profit shifting through transfer mispricing in a developing country.

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Research and policy briefs

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Difference-in-difference
Journal Article
Educational Assistance and Education Quality in Indonesia: The Role of Decentralization

Part of Journal Special Issue Welfare and distributive effects of social assistance in the Global South

Decentralization Education transfer education quality
Working Paper
Vulnerability to natural shocks: Assessing the short-term impact on consumption and poverty of the 2015 flood in Mozambique

Mozambique is among the most disaster-prone countries in the world. A bigger than usual, and mostly unexpected, flood occurred in the central-northern region of the country in the first few months of 2015, causing huge damage to infrastructures...

Welfare impact Flood Difference-in-difference
Working Paper
Educational assistance and education quality in Indonesia: The role of decentralization

We examine the evolution of educational assistance in Indonesia, following two decades of government decentralization, and its effect on education quality...

Decentralization Education transfer education quality
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